When we say “X-san is a lucky person,” there seem to be two possible interpretations:

  • A: At the random branching points in X-san’s life up until now, they have consistently taken the “good” path. This is just a generalization based on past tendencies and does not necessarily imply anything about future branching points.

  • B: Taking interpretation A further into the future, it means that X-san is likely to continue in the “good” direction both now and in the future. However, this is usually an incorrect generalization and may be just a result of bias or coincidence. Unless there is something specific about X-san’s characteristics that make them more likely to go in a “good” direction, it would be better to think about what those characteristics are rather than simply attributing it to luck.